Expected Threat(xT) In the world of Football Analytics/Metrics there are many advanced stats such as xG(Expected Goals) and xA(Expected Assists) just to name some. A relatively new analytic is emerging-Expected Threat. According to driblab , Expected Threat measures how the probability of scoring a goal changes before the action and after it, giving value to actions that lead your team towards more dangerous situations . Essentially it measures the value of a pass/dribble/carry towards a teams chances of scoring a goal. xT can have a positive and negative value. The Athletic The grid above developed by the Atheltic can be used to calculate the xT of a pass/dribble/carry from one zone to the other. So a successful pass from a region of 0.004 to a region of 0.32 would have an xT of 0.316, this means that that pass would increase the chances of the team scoring by 31%! A backpass or a carry back would result in a negative percent value...